Cytodyn (CYDY) Research Report 2016
Company Name: Cytodyn, Inc.
Company Ticker: CYDY
Shares Outstanding: 118 million
Market Cap: 185 million
Current Share Price: $1.36
Most Recent Company Presentation For All Programs: June 2016:
Summary: Cytodyn is a biotechnology company working on improving patients lives with HIV. Current treatments out there are burdensome for patients who have to take anywhere from 1 to 7 pills per day for the entire week. The problem with this is that the current standard of care treatment options are toxic for patients. They produce side effects such as nausea, vomiting, liver damage, kidney damage, and a host of many other problems. Cytodyn is working on developing a monoclonal antibody that can be injected once a week for these HIV patients. This means similar or better efficacy to current HIV drugs but with less side effects. The name of the monoclonal antibody is known as Pro 140 and it can be developed in other areas as well. The company is also pursing its additional target of Graft Versus Host Disease -- GvHD.
Technology: The company's technology is known as Pro 140 and it is a monoclonal antibody that stops the first process of HIV from being able to replicate in cells in the body. In order for HIV to penetrate an immune cell in the body it has to attach to the CD4 receptor and the CCR5 receptor. Pro 140 acts by blocking the process of the CCR5 receptor, the second and final stage HIV needs to get into the immune cell. In other words the GP120 protein of the HIV must attach to the CCR5 to complete the process of entering the cell or else it can't replicate.The good part about Pro 140 though is that while it blocks HIV cells from the CCR5 receptor it still allows good cells, known as(chemokine) that regulate inflammation that need to get through, to get in okay. Other treatments that exist out there don't allow chemokine to get through. Below is a video that describes the process in better detail:
Cytodyn bought the Pro 140 drug from Progenics (PGNX) many years ago, back in 2012. Under the terms of the agreement Progenics received a $3.5 million payment from Cytodyn. In addition Cytodyn must pay milestone payments and royalties for the drug.
Pipeline Candidates:
Pro 140 HIV: HIV is a virus that attacks the body's immune system, making it vulnerable to other diseases. When the immune system becomes weak it is unable to fight off other infections making the HIV virus very dangerous. HIV replicates itself in helper T-cells in the body, and once replicated they continue to go after and invade other T-cells. Pro 140 is a monoclonal antibody that binds to the CCR5 co-receptor of a T-Cell. HIV needs to binds first to the CD4 receptor and then the CCR5 receptor to complete the process. Pro 140 stops the binding of the GP120 HIV protein and the CCR5 co-receptor. To put into simpler terms Pro 140 blocks the second step of the HIV entry process thereby stopping it completely.
The HIV market is huge. Cytodyn is targeting HIV patients with the R5 strain. That accounts for 90% of newly diagnosed patients, and 70% of the overall HIV population. That is a big market, especially considering the two approaches the company is taking.
One approach is doing a combination trial of Pro140 together with HAART therapy (Standard of care for HIV). That is one phase 3 trial the company is running totaling 300 patients.
The second phase 3 trial the company is running is with Pro140 acting as a monotherapy drug. This trial is also enrolling 300 patients, but this time there will be no combo needed. The company wants to see if Pro140 alone can suppress viral load in these HIV patients. Thus far previous studies have shown 2+ years of viral suppression with Pro140 alone. The potential with that could be huge.
Pro140 + HAART therapy can command up to $5 billion market potential
Pro 140 Monotherapy can command up to $11 billion market potential
What must be remembered is that this market potential is only for the U.S. population. That doesn't include other global markets.
The HIV market is huge. Cytodyn is targeting HIV patients with the R5 strain. That accounts for 90% of newly diagnosed patients, and 70% of the overall HIV population. That is a big market, especially considering the two approaches the company is taking.
One approach is doing a combination trial of Pro140 together with HAART therapy (Standard of care for HIV). That is one phase 3 trial the company is running totaling 300 patients.
The second phase 3 trial the company is running is with Pro140 acting as a monotherapy drug. This trial is also enrolling 300 patients, but this time there will be no combo needed. The company wants to see if Pro140 alone can suppress viral load in these HIV patients. Thus far previous studies have shown 2+ years of viral suppression with Pro140 alone. The potential with that could be huge.
Pro140 + HAART therapy can command up to $5 billion market potential
Pro 140 Monotherapy can command up to $11 billion market potential
What must be remembered is that this market potential is only for the U.S. population. That doesn't include other global markets.
Cytoline: Like Pro 140 Cytoline is another monoclonal antibody the company has in its pipeline. For the time being it has pushed this back for a later time. Cytodyn is currently focused on the development of Pro 140 in both adjunct therapy and as a monotherapy. That's not to say that it won't ever be revisited, but if it does it will be at a much later time.
Pro 140 Graft versus Host Disease -- is a type of complication that can occur after a surgery is performed. Such a surgery is either a stem cell or bone marrow transplant. Patients experience complications when the newly donated cells start to attack the patients own body.
Pro140 in GvHD is almost ready to start a phase 2 trial. It has currently not recruited any patient yet, but this is another shot on goal for the company.
Pro140 in this indication targets a $500 million market opportunity
Pro140 in GvHD is almost ready to start a phase 2 trial. It has currently not recruited any patient yet, but this is another shot on goal for the company.
Pro140 in this indication targets a $500 million market opportunity
Partnerships/Buyout:
There are currently no partnerships the company has accomplished, and no talks yet released about a buyout. Despite that investors should look for a good future here if Pro 140 pans out in the two phase 3 trials. There is no guarantee of a buyout or partnership but investors should understand that this biotechnology company is in a unique place compared to its peers.
If Pro 140 is successful it could replace 1st line monotherapy or higher as a monotherapy and 2nd line therapy or higher as an adjunct therapy. That means that Gilead Sciences which is the leader in the HIV space stands to lose billions of dollars in yearly revenue if a competitor takes its space. With the results seen to date, Pro 140 has the ability to take Gilead's market share away if ultimately approved by the FDA. Why should Gilead want to acquire or partner with Cytodyn?
1. Gilead stands to lose a lot of yearly HIV revenue if Pro 140 makes it to market
2. Pro 140 has less side effects than all other HIV medicine on the market
3. Gilead can buy the company on the cheap between $2 billion and $5 billion and save itself from enormous losses
4. Pro 140 is a once a week injectable that accomplishes the same thing other drugs do without toxic side effects. Patients won't have to take a pill/pills everyday for the rest of their lives to achieve the same viral suppression.
That puts investors with huge upside potential here, because if further results come out better than other HIV medicines it will force a big pharmaceutical to buy Cytodyn. Preferably sooner rather than later.
If you take a look at a website known as Statista it highlights the market leader in the HIV market in terms of sales from 2009 to 20140 in the space which is clearly Gilead.
Management:
Nader Z. Pourhassan, Ph.D President & CEO : Dr. Pourhassan became the company's Managing Director of Business Development in June 2011. Prior to that, he was the Chief Operating Officer from May 2008 to June 2011. Born in Tehran, Iran in 1963, Dr. Pourhassan immigrated to the United States in 1977 and became a U.S. citizen in 1991. He received his Bachelor of Science from Utah State University in 1985, his Masters of Science from Brigham Young University in 1990 and his Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Utah in 1998. Prior to joining the Company from 2006 to 2008, Dr. Pourhassan was an instructor of Mechanical Engineering at The Center for Advanced Learning in Oregon, and from 2005 to 2006 was an instructor at Mount Hood Community College. Over the past twenty years, Dr. Pourhassan has also managed a family-owned export/import and manufacturing business.
Denis R. Burger, Ph.D Vice Chairman & Scientific Officer: Dr. Burger was appointed a Director in February 2014, named Vice Chairman in August 2014 and Chief Science Officer in January 2016. He is a life sciences executive with over 30 years of extensive scientific, operational and financial experience in the biotech industry. As CEO or chairman of several biotechnology companies, Dr. Burger has led numerous corporate financing transactions and public securities offerings and has experience leading R&D, GMP manufacturing and clinical development functional areas. Dr. Burger is currently a Director of Aptose Biosciences Inc., a cancer therapeutics, NASDAQ-listed company. Dr. Burger co-founded Trinity Biotech, a NASDAQ-listed diagnostic company, in June 1992, served as its Chairman from June 1992 to May 1995, and is currently lead independent director. Until March 2007, he was Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of AVI Biopharma Inc. (now Sarepta Therapeutics), a NASDAQ listed RNA therapeutics company. He was also a co-founder of Epitope Inc. (now Orasure Technologies, NASDAQ listed), serving as its Chairman from 1981 to 1990. Dr. Burger previously held a professorship in the Department of Microbiology and Immunology and Surgery (Surgical Oncology) at the Oregon Health and Sciences University in Portland. Dr. Burger received his undergraduate degree in Bacteriology and Immunology from the University of California in Berkeley and his Master of Science and Ph.D. degrees in Microbiology and Immunology from the University of Arizona.
Michael D. Mulholland Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Corporate Secretary: Mr. Mulholland brings to CytoDyn more than 25 years of senior level financial leadership for public companies in the business services, retail and manufacturing industries. His broad experience includes strategic planning, corporate finance, including raising debt and equity capital, acquisitions, corporate restructurings, SEC reporting, risk management, investor relations and corporate governance matters. In addition to his financial management experience, Mr. Mulholland has also managed IP-asset development for the chemical inventions of a leading European scientific inventor for improving human health, working with IP counsel to evaluate and prosecute domestic and foreign patent applications. Most recently, from 2011-2012, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Nautilus, Inc., a NYSE-listed developer and marketer of fitness equipment. He previously was Co-Chief Financial Officer of Corporate Management Advisors, Inc., a private holding company of various businesses and investments, including a majority interest in a publicly held manufacturing company, from 2010 to 2011; Vice President of Finance of Gevity HR, Inc., a former Nasdaq-listed professional employer organization, from 2008 to 2009; Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of Barrett Business Services, Inc., a Nasdaq-listed business services firm, from 1994 to 2008; and Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of Sprouse-Reitz Stores Inc., a former publicly held retail company, from 1988 to 1994. He began his career with Deloitte & Touche LLP. Mr. Mulholland received a B.S. in accounting and a M.B.A. in finance from the University of Oregon. He is a certified public accountant.
Nitya, G. Ray, Ph.D : Nitya G. Ray, Ph.D. joined CytoDyn in November, 2015 and is responsible for Process Development, Manufacturing, Supply Chain and Quality. Dr. Ray is an accomplished leader with 30 years of progressive, hands-on experience in diverse manufacturing platforms and product development, including biologics, antibody drug conjugates, engineered tissue therapeutics, small molecule and radiopharmaceutical drugs. Prior to joining CytoDyn, Dr. Ray served as Senior Vice President of Manufacturing at Progenics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. where he was responsible for Process Sciences, Manufacturing and Quality control. Prior to that, he served as Director of Bioprocess Development at Ortec International and held positions of increasing responsibility at Hoffmann-La Roche in the areas of GMP manufacturing and process development for engineered tissue therapeutics and biopharmaceuticals, and at Verax Corporation where he developed process technology for biopharmaceutical manufacturing. Dr. Ray received a Ph.D. and M.S. in Chemical & Biochemical Engineering from Rutgers University and a B.S. in Chemical Engineering from Jadavpur University, India.
Potential Upcoming Catalysts:
The company doesn't have much in terms of catalysts this year other than the phase 2b monotherapy results which were read out On 6/20/16 at the ASM Microbiome Conference. Both of the phase 3 trials in HIV are expected to be finished sometime in 2017. This means the company will file rolling BLA submissions to the FDA for potential approval. There will also be some results to be displayed at that time. Other than that there is possibly one for 2016:
- The trial with Pro 140 in GvHD starting sometime in 2016
Cash On Hand:
As with any biotechnology company it is important to note the cash on hand the company has in order to gauge how much money it has left. There are times where these companies can seek dilution, private placement money, partnerships with upfront payments, and other means.
As of the most recent June 2016 investors presentation, the slides make mention that the company currently has adequate financing to run its business. This is because in January of 2016 the company raised $20 million from a private placement deal.
Risks:
There is a lot of risk involved investing in such pharmaceutical companies. Even though Cytodyn has obtained positive preliminary results there is no guarantee that any of the drugs will reach the FDA, let alone for approval. Investors should be aware the risk of loss in investment in such companies and should contact a financial adviser if needed. Everything mentioned here is what the company has put out to date, therefore investors should do full due diligence and only invest in what they can afford to lose. The company trades on the OTC which makes it less liquid than other stocks, therefore there is more risk involved.
Conclusion:
Cytodyn is a biotechnology company focused on changing the landscape for the HIV market. The fact that patients will only need to take a once a week injection over having to take pills everyday for the rest of their lives is impressive enough. Add on to the fact that HIV patients won't have to go through toxic side effects such as nausea, vomiting, liver damage, etc. to achieve viral suppression using Pro 140 is a game changer in the HIV space. Cytodyn is looking to improve these patients' lives, and if Pro 140 if successful it will do just that. Cytodyn isn't a one trick pony though, Pro 140 can also be modified to target other diseases such as cancer. Thus the reason why the company is doing a phase 2 in GvHD. The potential for this company with a market cap of only $185 million is enormous.
Disclosure: The Author of this report is Long Cytodyn (OTC:CYDY). The author has not received any compensation, nor intends to receive such compensation for the production for such a report. The author also has no business relationship with any of the companies mentioned in this report.
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This report has been developed as a free research report for all investors. 2016